Dale Earnhardt Jr.
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Biffle has been strong during restrictor-plate races, and he finished eighth in the Daytona 500. Dating back to 2011, Biffle has finished in the Top 15 in every race at Talladega, with the exception of this race last year when he finished 36th.
Stewart is always a threat to win at any restrictor-plate track, and he is definitely due for a victory. Though he has never won the Daytona 500, he is always strong at Talladega, and almost won last year before taking out the entire field. He is definitely hungry for a win, so I expect him to run well this weekend.
Waltrip almost pulled off a major upset last year, and I wouldn't be surprised if he does it again this year. I usually stick with Waltrip as a fantasy pick for restrictor-plate tracks because those are the only races he's in the car and it's a solid pick. I look for him to finish in the Top 10 this weekend.
My pick to win the Aaron's 499: Tony Stewart
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